Jittery-Cape
Skill vs luck
Jittery-Cape on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 44%–100%) · profit +$89. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Jittery-Cape: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xf072bbd9d078c07532d17449f0dd9cff2ad1d897. Data CC BY 4.0.
Jittery-Cape: +$89 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$17
- Sep 4 – Sep 19
- +$71
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | SELL HellNight- @ 50¢ | Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C ↗ | $1.6K |
| Nov 2 | BUY HellNight- @ 40¢ | Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C ↗ | $1.3K |
| Sep 4 | SELL Level UP
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Level UP - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Level UP - Game 1 Winner | $3.8K |
| Sep 4 | BUY Level UP
@ 97¢
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Level UP - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Level UP - Game 1 Winner | $2.9K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.