Boring-Specification
0xecef7a84f071df83cd6a8c40561ac2f8f28275fa
Boring-Specification: +$27 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$27
return +0.3%
Settled bets
3
$9.1K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 44%–100%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 18 – Oct 2
- +$21
- Oct 2 – Oct 17
- +$7
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7%
(2,007 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14 | BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? ↗ | $2.3K |
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 99.69¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | $1.8K |
| Sep 21 | BUY No
@ 99.7¢
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? |
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | $5.0K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.