Kindly-Amazement

0xebbba265a23a5c13d94051b4be1090101e024214

Skill vs luck

Kindly-Amazement on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–49%) · profit −$11K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.

Post on X Telegram WhatsApp Email

Cite: Hopium Games, “Kindly-Amazement: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xebbba265a23a5c13d94051b4be1090101e024214. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Kindly-Amazement: −$11K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–49%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$11K
return −100.0%
Settled bets
4
$11K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–49%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 2 – Oct 16
−$2.0K
Oct 16 – Oct 31
−$9.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +2.1% (2,609 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 30 BUY Predators @ 28¢ Capitals vs. Predators ↗ $2.0K
Oct 30 BUY Predators @ 27¢ Capitals vs. Predators ↗ $2.0K
Oct 30 BUY Predators @ 27¢ Capitals vs. Predators ↗ $2.0K
Oct 18 BUY Sabres @ 23¢
Sabres vs. Canadiens
Sabres vs. Canadiens $1.0K
Oct 18 BUY Sabres @ 23¢
Sabres vs. Canadiens
Sabres vs. Canadiens $2.0K
Oct 16 BUY Jets @ 28¢
Jets vs. Blackhawks
Jets vs. Blackhawks $1.0K
Oct 16 BUY Predators @ 29¢
Sharks vs. Predators
Sharks vs. Predators $1.0K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793430041, computed 2026-10-31 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793430041 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed