Happy-Command
Skill vs luck
Happy-Command on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$7.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Happy-Command: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe78c8709b6770c7acf66dbba176b50c83f783e9c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Happy-Command: +$7.1K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$7.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | BUY Yes @ 54¢ | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? ↗ | $2.2K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Yes @ 54¢ | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? ↗ | $2.1K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Yes @ 53¢ | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? ↗ | $3.7K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?