Big-Hearted-Outlaw-Inbox
Skill vs luck
Big-Hearted-Outlaw-Inbox on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$5.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Big-Hearted-Outlaw-Inbox: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe5c66c8a7da87393372cb801d004b94dea78c89a. Data CC BY 4.0.
Big-Hearted-Outlaw-Inbox: +$5.8K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 30
- +$5.8K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | SELL Natus Vincere @ 56¢ | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs ↗ | $6.8K |
| Oct 28 | SELL Yes @ 44¢ | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | $7.5K |
| Oct 28 | SELL Yes @ 45¢ | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | $3.6K |
| Oct 20 | SELL Up
@ 57¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? |
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | $1.2K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.