Expert-Sock-Mole
Skill vs luck
Expert-Sock-Mole on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–56%) · profit −$547. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Expert-Sock-Mole: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe4b7c2e4a0c1e02cf1052ded400421432a0c4280. Data CC BY 4.0.
Expert-Sock-Mole: −$547 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 30
- −$547
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | SELL Astra Invicta @ 99.9¢ | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $2.4K |
| Oct 26 | SELL Vitality
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner | $2.3K |
| Oct 26 | SELL Aurora Gaming
@ 66¢
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5) | $1.1K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.