Stable-Counsellor
Skill vs luck
Stable-Counsellor on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit +$1.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Stable-Counsellor: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe3d4edebaf92c9b4d596f851bae62675ade1884e. Data CC BY 4.0.
Stable-Counsellor: +$1.8K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 5 – Sep 22
- −$131
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$1.9K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Alexander Volkanovski @ 50¢ | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Alexander Volkanovski @ 53¢ | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Loneer Kavanagh @ 99.9¢ | UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card) ↗ | $3.4K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Losene Keita
@ 99¢
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Main Card) |
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Main Card) | $2.1K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Losene Keita
@ 95¢
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Main Card) |
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Main Card) | $1.9K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?