Enchanting-Hiking
Skill vs luck
Enchanting-Hiking on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 15%–85%) · profit −$850. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Enchanting-Hiking: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe3c1db4b46b6d10c815f712f8e2172819fe0a87d. Data CC BY 4.0.
Enchanting-Hiking: −$850 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- −$850
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | BUY Zimbabwe @ 28¢ | Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 31 | SELL Pakistan
@ 99.9¢
England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka |
England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka | $2.7K |
| Oct 29 | BUY Afghanistan
@ 85¢
Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe |
Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe | $1.1K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Afghanistan
@ 84¢
Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe |
Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe | $1.4K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.