Key-Function
Skill vs luck
Key-Function on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$1.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Key-Function: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe37df95ee237ca292a35d2cd0b55ab868daabbe8. Data CC BY 4.0.
Key-Function: −$1.8K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 19 – Nov 3
- −$1.8K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | SELL Yes
@ 41¢
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02? |
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02? | $1.1K |
| Nov 1 | SELL Yes @ 88¢ | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01? ↗ | $1.2K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.