Excellent-Notation
Skill vs luck
Excellent-Notation on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$1.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Excellent-Notation: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe1298ca5acc3ddfca94967c6734da999728cfef1. Data CC BY 4.0.
Excellent-Notation: −$1.8K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 30
- −$1.8K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | BUY FUT Esports @ 70¢ | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs ↗ | $1.8K |
| Oct 29 | SELL Lakers @ 99.9¢ | Lakers vs. Clippers ↗ | $2.9K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.