Able-Friend
Skill vs luck
Able-Friend on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$189. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +1.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 29, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Able-Friend: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 29, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xdd99e89532a70914ea0500200eccfe02d5fdee61. Data CC BY 4.0.
Able-Friend: +$189 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 1 – Oct 15
- +$254
- Oct 15 – Oct 29
- −$65
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | SELL Milwaukee Brewers @ 94¢ | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 11 | SELL Seahawks
@ 67¢
Spread: 49ers (-1.5) |
Spread: 49ers (-1.5) | $1.4K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Seahawks
@ 55¢
Spread: 49ers (-1.5) |
Spread: 49ers (-1.5) | $1.2K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.