Aggravating-Lettuce-Local

0xdd97e6ad12ca4dd18a88804fb5ed7ed429849464

Skill vs luck

Aggravating-Lettuce-Local on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 14% (95% range 3%–51%) · profit +$2.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.

Post on X Telegram WhatsApp Email

Cite: Hopium Games, “Aggravating-Lettuce-Local: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xdd97e6ad12ca4dd18a88804fb5ed7ed429849464. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Aggravating-Lettuce-Local: +$2.4K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 14% (95% range 3%–51%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit

+$2.4K

return +44.8%

Settled bets

$5.3K staked

Won

14.3%

95% range 3%–51%

Mostly bets on

other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period

Oct 10 – Oct 27: +$2.4K

Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.

Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.4% (2,295 positions).

Latest captured bets

When	Bet	Market	Size
Oct 27	SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	$2.0K
Oct 27	SELL Yes @ 94¢ Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	$3.1K
Oct 27	SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	$3.6K
Oct 27	SELL No @ 99.9¢ Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	$5.7K
Oct 27	SELL Mbappé @ 99.9¢ Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? ↗	$9.3K
Oct 27	SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	$14K
Oct 27	SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	$23K
Oct 20	BUY Yes @ 70¢ Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	$1.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?

About this data · run 1793084411, computed 2026-10-27 07:00 UTC

Source: hopium_compute run 1793084411 (PG metrics_*)

Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
latest window has the most unresolved markets
Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed