Repulsive-Subcomponent-Clarification
Skill vs luck
Repulsive-Subcomponent-Clarification on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit −$2.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Repulsive-Subcomponent-Clarification: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xdc537fb797067fc482d35b5a3bb2477253ca812c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Repulsive-Subcomponent-Clarification: −$2.1K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 31
- −$2.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | BUY Hornets @ 48¢ | Hornets vs. Wizards ↗ | $3.0K |
| Oct 30 | BUY MOUZ @ 58¢ | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner ↗ | $1.2K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.