0xDaA3…797a

0xDaA30bEEf4a0d799e5E3112ce3155E9d884d797a

Skill vs luck

0xDaA3…797a on Limitless: 51 settled bets · won 71% (95% range 57%–81%) · profit +$252. Skill vs luck: can't be told from luck. Copying the top 20% of Limitless whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.

Post on X Telegram WhatsApp Email

Cite: Hopium Games, “0xDaA3…797a: Limitless record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xdaa30beef4a0d799e5e3112ce3155e9d884d797a. Data CC BY 4.0.

Limitless

Can't tell from luck Check it on Limitless ↗

0xDaA3…797a: +$252 on 51 settled Limitless bets since Sep 5, won 71% (95% range 57%–81%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$252
return +3.8%
Settled bets
51
$6.7K staked
Won
70.6%
95% range 57%–81%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 27 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $50+ bets since Sep 5, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 5 – Sep 19
+$480
Sep 19 – Oct 4
−$55
Oct 4 – Oct 18
−$942
Oct 18 – Nov 2
+$769
Settled profit in each period since Sep 5 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Limitless whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −11.1% (193 positions).

In the live feed

SELL $281
sold No @ 36¢ → lost
SELL $91
sold Yes @ 81¢ → won
BUY $342
bought Yes @ 91¢ → won (+$35)
SELL $141
sold Yes @ 97¢ → won
BUY $100
bought Yes @ 68¢ → won (+$46)
BUY $100
bought Yes @ 78¢ → won (+$28)
BUY $275
bought Yes @ 83¢ → won (+$56)
BUY $231
bought Yes @ 83¢ → won (+$47)

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Nov 2 SELL No @ 36¢
Nets vs. Pacers
Nets vs. Pacers $281
Nov 1 SELL Yes @ 81¢
Juventus
Juventus $91
Nov 1 BUY Yes @ 91¢ Marseille ↗ $342
Nov 1 SELL Yes @ 97¢ Valencia ↗ $141
Nov 1 BUY Yes @ 68¢ Valencia ↗ $100
Nov 1 BUY Yes @ 78¢ Genoa ↗ $100
Nov 1 BUY Yes @ 83¢
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt $275
Nov 1 BUY Yes @ 83¢ Real Madrid ↗ $231

Its last 8 captured bets of $50+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793602824, computed 2026-11-02 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793602824 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed