Afraid-Doubter
Skill vs luck
Afraid-Doubter on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$640. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Afraid-Doubter: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xd5eb0648cbff7c030356f51af19cc6caf0c69120. Data CC BY 4.0.
Afraid-Doubter: +$640 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- +$640
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY Adrian Mannarino @ 61¢ | Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse ↗ | $1.0K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?