Second-Hand-Pepper
Skill vs luck
Second-Hand-Pepper on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit −$961. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Second-Hand-Pepper: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xd5374430a0e5a775af0480e5d1f9a434f31a0f7c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Second-Hand-Pepper: −$961 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 31
- −$961
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | BUY Team Spirit @ 68¢ | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢ | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs ↗ | $1.6K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Nemiga @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner ↗ | $2.5K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Nemiga @ 58¢ | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner ↗ | $1.5K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.