Experienced-Harmonise
Skill vs luck
Experienced-Harmonise on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit −$8.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +1.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 29, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Experienced-Harmonise: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 29, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xd456f5b4b9ba613ada9c28c2b6e573ebd5419189. Data CC BY 4.0.
Experienced-Harmonise: −$8.8K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 1 – Oct 15
- −$9.2K
- Oct 15 – Oct 29
- +$358
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | BUY Spurs @ 86¢ | Spurs vs. Jazz ↗ | $2.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 19¢
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? |
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | $2.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY LYON @ 74¢ | LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 Winner ↗ | $2.3K |
| Oct 4 | BUY LYON @ 50¢ | LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $10K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.