Self-Reliant-Mayonnaise-Requirement
Skill vs luck
Self-Reliant-Mayonnaise-Requirement on Polymarket: 8 settled bets · won 25% (95% range 7%–59%) · profit −$11K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Self-Reliant-Mayonnaise-Requirement: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xd1a78c7d10f2110d9a8248abdbbb84bca51097a4. Data CC BY 4.0.
Self-Reliant-Mayonnaise-Requirement: −$11K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 7%–59%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 30
- −$11K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | BUY Trail Blazers @ 70¢ | Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers ↗ | $4.8K |
| Oct 29 | SELL Lakers @ 74¢ | Lakers vs. Clippers ↗ | $2.6K |
| Oct 29 | BUY Clippers
@ 46¢
Spread: Clippers (-4.5) |
Spread: Clippers (-4.5) | $2.6K |
| Oct 29 | BUY Spurs
@ 54¢
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) |
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | $3.6K |
| Oct 29 | BUY BetBoom Team @ 39¢ | Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs ↗ | $2.9K |
| Oct 29 | BUY Over
@ 50¢
Devils vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5 |
Devils vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 28 | BUY BetBoom Team @ 39¢ | Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 28 | BUY Over
@ 34¢
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5 |
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5 | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.