Crisp-Sentencing-Raisin
Skill vs luck
Crisp-Sentencing-Raisin on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 15%–85%) · profit −$816. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Crisp-Sentencing-Raisin: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xce9f3af3f26b23fde285e82471e03dd90038130c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Crisp-Sentencing-Raisin: −$816 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 31
- −$816
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | BUY Packers
@ 50¢
Spread: Packers (-7.5) |
Spread: Packers (-7.5) | $1.3K |
| Oct 29 | BUY Grizzlies @ 50¢ | Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5) ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 28 | BUY Under
@ 51¢
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5 |
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Under
@ 49¢
Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5 |
Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5 | $2.4K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.