Flickering-Landing
Skill vs luck
Flickering-Landing on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 25% (95% range 5%–70%) · profit −$708. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Flickering-Landing: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xc75c8fc49b99f63b23bb4cc53b3e8e39071cce8b. Data CC BY 4.0.
Flickering-Landing: −$708 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- −$708
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | SELL TheMongolz @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A ↗ | $4.5K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Yes
@ 71¢
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score |
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | $1.2K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes
@ 71¢
FC Barcelona leading at halftime? |
FC Barcelona leading at halftime? | $1.2K |
| Oct 31 | SELL MOUZ @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs ↗ | $1.4K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.