Barren-Bull-Polliwog
Skill vs luck
Barren-Bull-Polliwog on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$2. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 19, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Barren-Bull-Polliwog: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 19, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xc58fb1ac447ef901b60e1ac447c49ab4f28ae0aa. Data CC BY 4.0.
Barren-Bull-Polliwog: −$2 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 19 – Oct 4
- −$2
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY No @ 45¢ | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Yes
@ 99.8¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? |
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? | $1.0K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?