Intentional-Disengagement-Singing
Skill vs luck
Intentional-Disengagement-Singing on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit −$77. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Intentional-Disengagement-Singing: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xc4e8e3eb2b820344a1f25e5af39ba089f0930637. Data CC BY 4.0.
Intentional-Disengagement-Singing: −$77 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 31
- −$77
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | SELL 76ers @ 91¢ | Knicks vs. 76ers ↗ | $3.3K |
| Oct 27 | SELL Paris Basketball
@ 98¢
BC Dubai vs. Paris Basketball |
BC Dubai vs. Paris Basketball | $1.3K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Grizzlies @ 79¢ | Grizzlies vs. Jazz ↗ | $1.0K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.