Illustrious-Temple
Skill vs luck
Illustrious-Temple on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$19K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Illustrious-Temple: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xc43e270d567626954e54236520d0817c948aca84. Data CC BY 4.0.
Illustrious-Temple: +$19K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 30
- +$19K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? ↗ | $43K |
| Oct 28 | BUY Yes @ 40¢ | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-28? ↗ | $12K |
| Oct 28 | BUY Yes @ 27¢ | Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? ↗ | $7.4K |
| Oct 28 | BUY Yes @ 28¢ | Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? ↗ | $4.6K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.