Outrageous-Pegboard
Skill vs luck
Outrageous-Pegboard on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$593. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Outrageous-Pegboard: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xc3b1656e2855a5d2a864f8d4f35dc9f20131d90c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Outrageous-Pegboard: +$593 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 19 – Nov 3
- +$593
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | SELL MOUZ @ 93¢ | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B ↗ | $4.8K |
| Nov 2 | BUY MOUZ @ 91¢ | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B ↗ | $9.9K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.