Remorseful-Lion
Skill vs luck
Remorseful-Lion on Polymarket: 8 settled bets · won 75% (95% range 41%–93%) · profit +$1.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Remorseful-Lion: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xc0d92c7177507c5acad54205cf8e638b64d9da5e. Data CC BY 4.0.
Remorseful-Lion: +$1.8K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 41%–93%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$166
- Sep 19 – Oct 4
- +$1.2K
- Oct 4 – Oct 19
- +$485
- Oct 19 – Nov 3
- −$3
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01? ↗ | $2.9K |
| Oct 10 | BUY No
@ 87¢
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 0 Leeds United FC? |
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 0 Leeds United FC? | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 91¢
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 1 SV Werder Bremen? |
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 1 SV Werder Bremen? | $2.9K |
| Oct 2 | BUY No
@ 90¢
Exact Score: Poland 2 - 1 Romania? |
Exact Score: Poland 2 - 1 Romania? | $2.9K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
Andorra vs. Malta: O/U 4.5 |
Andorra vs. Malta: O/U 4.5 | $7.9K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Under
@ 89¢
Andorra vs. Malta: O/U 4.5 |
Andorra vs. Malta: O/U 4.5 | $7.0K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.