Insecure-Physical
Skill vs luck
Insecure-Physical on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 25% (95% range 5%–70%) · profit −$1.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Insecure-Physical: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xc0863f96043d3b55bcb46551adcdc5a30ed18128. Data CC BY 4.0.
Insecure-Physical: −$1.8K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 31
- −$1.8K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | SELL Nemiga @ 51¢ | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Vitality @ 80¢ | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner ↗ | $2.7K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Vitality @ 81¢ | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner ↗ | $2.8K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Nemiga @ 89¢ | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner ↗ | $3.3K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Nemiga @ 69¢ | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner ↗ | $2.6K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Vitality @ 83¢ | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs ↗ | $1.5K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.