Artistic-Veranda

0xbd0923420f3bbe8580237cd8fadb25a46cd2a188

Skill vs luck

Artistic-Veranda on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 60% (95% range 23%–88%) · profit −$1.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Artistic-Veranda: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xbd0923420f3bbe8580237cd8fadb25a46cd2a188. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Artistic-Veranda: −$1.2K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.2K
return −12.7%
Settled bets
5
$9.2K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 16 – Oct 31
−$1.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +2.1% (2,609 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 31 BUY Vitality @ 56¢ Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs ↗ $5.0K
Oct 29 BUY Thunder @ 64¢ Thunder vs. Mavericks ↗ $2.6K
Oct 29 BUY Oilers @ 64¢
Flames vs. Oilers
Flames vs. Oilers $2.0K
Oct 27 BUY Stars @ 52¢
Devils vs. Stars
Devils vs. Stars $1.0K
Oct 27 BUY Stars @ 52¢
Devils vs. Stars
Devils vs. Stars $1.0K
Oct 27 BUY Blue Jackets @ 53¢
Blue Jackets vs. Flyers
Blue Jackets vs. Flyers $1.1K
Oct 27 BUY LEGION @ 51¢
Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B
Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B $1.5K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793430041, computed 2026-10-31 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793430041 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed