Imaginative-Tourism
Skill vs luck
Imaginative-Tourism on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 80% (95% range 38%–96%) · profit +$3.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Imaginative-Tourism: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xbcf29f18e98917ff82726e042645d234c6a422ff. Data CC BY 4.0.
Imaginative-Tourism: +$3.4K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 38%–96%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 3 – Sep 18
- +$1.2K
- Oct 3 – Oct 17
- +$1.4K
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- +$827
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes @ 92¢ | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31? ↗ | $3.0K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Yes @ 95¢ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | $9.9K |
| Oct 14 | SELL Under
@ 54¢
LASK Linz vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5 |
LASK Linz vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5 | $1.4K |
| Sep 8 | SELL No
@ 82¢
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 0 Villarreal CF? |
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 0 Villarreal CF? | $1.8K |
| Sep 6 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Chelsea FC? |
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Chelsea FC? | $29K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.