Sad-Gyro
Skill vs luck
Sad-Gyro on Polymarket: 11 settled bets · won 64% (95% range 35%–85%) · profit −$2.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Sad-Gyro: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xbc9bb5e0d7ed5609c18a71c1bf3e325de2ed1b9c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Sad-Gyro: −$2.4K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 64% (95% range 35%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$13
- Sep 19 – Oct 4
- +$404
- Oct 19 – Nov 3
- −$2.8K
In the live feed
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | BUY No @ 99¢ | Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02? ↗ | $9.9K |
| Nov 2 | BUY Yes
@ 79¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03? |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03? | $6.5K |
| Oct 31 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will PSV win on 2026-10-31? |
Will PSV win on 2026-10-31? | $5.0K |
| Oct 31 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Willem II Tilburg win on 2026-10-31? |
Will Willem II Tilburg win on 2026-10-31? | $10K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes @ 98¢ | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31? ↗ | $5.9K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes @ 84¢ | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-31? ↗ | $4.2K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes
@ 91¢
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-31? |
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-31? | $1.4K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Yes
@ 96¢
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-31? |
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-31? | $9.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.