Juicy-Methodology-Magnitude
Skill vs luck
Juicy-Methodology-Magnitude on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$3. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Juicy-Methodology-Magnitude: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xbab863497bc9f9c7f9949cd62e7371f9ae9e7edb. Data CC BY 4.0.
Juicy-Methodology-Magnitude: −$3 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 31
- −$3
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | SELL potn9ki
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: potn9ki vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: potn9ki vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Nemiga @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner ↗ | $1.4K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.