Masculine-Asparagus
Skill vs luck
Masculine-Asparagus on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$24. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Masculine-Asparagus: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xb974a5dd830f24985214b5228829ad278d7d5171. Data CC BY 4.0.
Masculine-Asparagus: +$24 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 3 – Sep 17
- +$224
- Sep 17 – Oct 1
- −$200
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | SELL No
@ 91¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? |
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? | $2.0K |
| Sep 14 | BUY No
@ 90¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? |
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? | $2.0K |
| Sep 14 | SELL No @ 91¢ | Will GameStop acquire eBay? ↗ | $2.0K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.