Colorless-Bond-Kiwi
Skill vs luck
Colorless-Bond-Kiwi on Polymarket: 8 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 22%–79%) · profit −$277. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Colorless-Bond-Kiwi: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xb35fa198138fc48ddc315ecdc15cb132d31a9f0f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Colorless-Bond-Kiwi: −$277 on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 22%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 31
- −$277
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 61¢ | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Team Spirit @ 64¢ | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 30 | BUY FURIA @ 90¢ | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Team Liquid @ 64¢ | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Team Spirit @ 90¢ | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $4.0K |
| Oct 30 | BUY PARIVISION @ 55¢ | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 30 | SELL PARIVISION @ 99.9¢ | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $2.3K |
| Oct 30 | SELL FlyQuest
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.