Dimpled-Pupa
Skill vs luck
Dimpled-Pupa on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 75% (95% range 30%–95%) · profit +$2.9K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +1.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 29, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Dimpled-Pupa: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 29, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xb10b84591ddc8eabb115ada4adcdd8d8461f5102. Data CC BY 4.0.
Dimpled-Pupa: +$2.9K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 1 – Oct 15
- −$1.1K
- Oct 15 – Oct 29
- +$4.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 57¢ | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 28 | BUY Milwaukee Brewers
@ 42¢
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) |
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | $1.2K |
| Oct 18 | BUY Raiders
@ 58¢
1H Spread: Bills (-4.5) |
1H Spread: Bills (-4.5) | $2.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Bills @ 54¢ | Spread: Bills (-6.5) ↗ | $1.1K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.