Hairy-Emu
Skill vs luck
Hairy-Emu on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$3.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Hairy-Emu: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xafffecc22c98aee9bb097d90537608aa70a433ff. Data CC BY 4.0.
Hairy-Emu: −$3.4K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 19 – Nov 3
- −$3.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | BUY Chiefs
@ 47¢
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) |
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) | $2.3K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Jets @ 51¢ | Spread: Jets (-1.5) ↗ | $1.1K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.