Adolescent-Tablecloth
Skill vs luck
Adolescent-Tablecloth on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–56%) · profit −$4.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Adolescent-Tablecloth: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xaa6c4e41b5d58dd8b22454b17bde5fdf867ea9b3. Data CC BY 4.0.
Adolescent-Tablecloth: −$4.2K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 18 – Oct 3
- −$1.7K
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- −$2.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | BUY fnatic
@ 44¢
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Eternal Fire - Map 4 Winner |
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Eternal Fire - Map 4 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 30 | BUY FURIA @ 39¢ | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner ↗ | $1.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Vitality @ 80¢ | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner ↗ | $1.7K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.