Frizzy-Crazy

0xa2dd75ac3fdf9ab274a6e939129feb170353e1b2

Skill vs luck

Frizzy-Crazy on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 60% (95% range 23%–88%) · profit −$1.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +1.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 29, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Frizzy-Crazy: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 29, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xa2dd75ac3fdf9ab274a6e939129feb170353e1b2. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Frizzy-Crazy: −$1.5K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.5K
return −12.8%
Settled bets
5
$12K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 1 – Oct 15
−$2.0K
Oct 15 – Oct 29
+$481
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +1.3% (2,530 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 28 BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 59¢ Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays ↗ $1.3K
Oct 23 BUY Patriots @ 62¢
Spread: Bears (-7.5)
Spread: Bears (-7.5) $2.6K
Oct 17 BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? ↗ $4.0K
Oct 16 BUY Seahawks @ 57¢ Seahawks vs. Broncos ↗ $2.0K
Oct 10 BUY @ 56¢
Bethune-Cookman vs. Alabama A&M AND LSU vs. Kentucky
Bethune-Cookman vs. Alabama A&M AND LSU vs. Kentucky $2.7K
Oct 9 BUY Cowboys @ 56¢
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) $2.0K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793257219, computed 2026-10-29 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793257219 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed