Ragged-Rabbit
Skill vs luck
Ragged-Rabbit on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$17. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 4, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Ragged-Rabbit: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 4, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x9c8f91bc6a40b5a0ebcafe3f6541259374592268. Data CC BY 4.0.
Ragged-Rabbit: +$17 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 20 – Nov 4
- +$17
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | BUY Up
@ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | $1.9K |
| Nov 2 | SELL Ignacio Buse @ 99.9¢ | Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs ↗ | $2.2K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.