Handy-Conscience
Skill vs luck
Handy-Conscience on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 44%–100%) · profit +$293. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Handy-Conscience: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x9a05adbecf41908cecd66103e565cffe74e394e2. Data CC BY 4.0.
Handy-Conscience: +$293 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- +$293
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes @ 99.2¢ | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-31? ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 31 | BUY No
@ 99.6¢
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-31? |
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-31? | $3.0K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? |
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | $2.8K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Yes
@ 92¢
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? |
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | $3.1K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.