Indelible-Specialist-Artifact

0x94d6530c8d66cf9a789c7f2e6a9c4f2cb20cf121

Skill vs luck

Indelible-Specialist-Artifact on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$674. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Indelible-Specialist-Artifact: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x94d6530c8d66cf9a789c7f2e6a9c4f2cb20cf121. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Indelible-Specialist-Artifact: +$674 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$674
return +3.5%
Settled bets
2
$19K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 34%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 19 – Nov 3
+$674
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +0.2% (2,674 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Nov 2 BUY potn9ki @ 47¢ Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C ↗ $2.4K
Nov 2 BUY potn9ki @ 17¢ Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C ↗ $3.6K
Oct 31 BUY Furman @ 99¢
Spread: Western Carolina (-10.5)
Spread: Western Carolina (-10.5) $13K
Oct 22 BUY Yes @ 99¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20? $1.4K
Oct 22 BUY Yes @ 90¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20? $4.8K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793689244, computed 2026-11-03 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793689244 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed