Even-Quit
Skill vs luck
Even-Quit on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$939. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Even-Quit: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x8f22739a288c106cf0baada1ba9c2607d15db7fa. Data CC BY 4.0.
Even-Quit: +$939 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 30
- +$939
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | BUY Invictus Gaming @ 67¢ | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.9K |
| Oct 28 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28? ↗ | $1.1K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.