Legitimate-Badge-Mukluk
Skill vs luck
Legitimate-Badge-Mukluk on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 14% (95% range 3%–51%) · profit +$49. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Legitimate-Badge-Mukluk: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x836622189391f75d1ac1f8192601016d528b54ff. Data CC BY 4.0.
Legitimate-Badge-Mukluk: +$49 on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 14% (95% range 3%–51%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- −$3
- Sep 3 – Sep 18
- +$59
- Sep 18 – Oct 3
- −$1
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- −$5
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 7.5 |
Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 7.5 | $1.2K |
| Oct 31 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31? ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: 1st Half O/U 0.5 |
OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | $2.0K |
| Oct 19 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5 |
AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5 | $1.0K |
| Oct 1 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Israel vs. Kosovo end in a draw? |
Will Israel vs. Kosovo end in a draw? | $1.4K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 97¢
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-09-16? |
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-09-16? | $1.9K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.