Pessimistic-Farrow
Skill vs luck
Pessimistic-Farrow on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$997. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +1.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 29, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Pessimistic-Farrow: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 29, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x83393548800a7f1cda599a27012a7aa555e7caa9. Data CC BY 4.0.
Pessimistic-Farrow: +$997 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 15 – Oct 29
- +$997
In the live feed
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | BUY Lakers @ 94¢ | Lakers vs. Clippers ↗ | $3.2K |
| Oct 29 | BUY Lakers @ 87¢ | Lakers vs. Clippers ↗ | $5.1K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.