0x827e…6ed7

0x827e2560e20EBE15F080E58a6FBC804C83C96ed7

Skill vs luck

0x827e…6ed7 on Limitless: 20 settled bets · won 35% (95% range 18%–57%) · profit −$652. Skill vs luck: can't be told from luck. Copying the top 20% of Limitless whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.

Post on X Telegram WhatsApp Email

Cite: Hopium Games, “0x827e…6ed7: Limitless record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x827e2560e20ebe15f080e58a6fbc804c83c96ed7. Data CC BY 4.0.

Limitless

Can't tell from luck Check it on Limitless ↗

0x827e…6ed7: −$652 on 20 settled Limitless bets since Sep 5, won 35% (95% range 18%–57%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$652
return −27.8%
Settled bets
20
$2.3K staked
Won
35.0%
95% range 18%–57%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 18 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $50+ bets since Sep 5, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 5 – Sep 19
−$310
Oct 4 – Oct 18
−$41
Oct 18 – Nov 2
−$301
Settled profit in each period since Sep 5 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Limitless whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −11.1% (193 positions).

In the live feed

BUY $104
bought Yes @ 42¢ → lost (−$104)

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Nov 1 BUY Yes @ 42¢
Sevilla
Sevilla $104
Oct 30 BUY Yes @ 37¢
Lille
Lille $150
Oct 30 BUY Yes @ 38¢
Rennes
Rennes $150
Oct 29 BUY Yes @ 44¢
Everton
Everton $150
Oct 29 BUY Yes @ 36¢
Atalanta
Atalanta $150
Oct 27 BUY Yes @ 65¢
Arsenal
Arsenal $116
Oct 27 BUY Yes @ 57¢
Como
Como $150
Oct 27 BUY Yes @ 61¢
Bradford
Bradford $100

Its last 8 captured bets of $50+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793602824, computed 2026-11-02 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793602824 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed