Agitated-Atheist
Skill vs luck
Agitated-Atheist on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 19%–81%) · profit +$2.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Agitated-Atheist: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x813e7a94e28bd7fd1c88ba87aeb910e665bd9b5d. Data CC BY 4.0.
Agitated-Atheist: +$2.1K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- +$2.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | BUY LYON @ 57¢ | LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Karmine Corp @ 54¢ | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $2.2K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Mavericks @ 52¢ | Rockets vs. Mavericks ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 31 | SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $5.5K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Team Liquid @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $3.9K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Team Liquid @ 61¢ | LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $1.5K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.