0x7f50…74a8
Skill vs luck
0x7f50…74a8 on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit −$2.7K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0x7f50…74a8: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x7f50803c934bdfa283b3a6c3a24103e2666b74a8. Data CC BY 4.0.
0x7f50…74a8: −$2.7K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$2.7K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Karmine Corp @ 55¢ | LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $4.3K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Dplus KIA @ 39¢ | LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 23 | SELL Movistar KOI @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $3.1K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?