Hard-To-Find-Cadet
Skill vs luck
Hard-To-Find-Cadet on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$340. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Hard-To-Find-Cadet: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x7b0b3850eb4a00289a6e00097bc4daeec39cc3df. Data CC BY 4.0.
Hard-To-Find-Cadet: −$340 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 19 – Nov 3
- −$340
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | SELL potn9ki @ 50¢ | Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C ↗ | $1.0K |
| Nov 2 | SELL potn9ki @ 50¢ | Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C ↗ | $1.0K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Yes
@ 72¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? |
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | $1.1K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Yes
@ 75¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? |
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | $1.3K |
| Oct 30 | SELL No
@ 78¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? |
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | $2.0K |
| Oct 22 | BUY No
@ 87¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? |
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | $1.5K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.