Natural-Eclipse
Skill vs luck
Natural-Eclipse on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit +$1.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Natural-Eclipse: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x792edc35edfc9a90d12338fd7fe65139da48fd6c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Natural-Eclipse: +$1.3K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- +$794
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- +$514
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | BUY Nemiga @ 71¢ | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 0.5 |
Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 0.5 | $2.7K |
| Oct 6 | SELL 1WIN @ 83¢ | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage ↗ | $2.4K |
| Oct 6 | BUY 1WIN @ 55¢ | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage ↗ | $1.6K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.