Offbeat-Tanker
Skill vs luck
Offbeat-Tanker on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$11K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Offbeat-Tanker: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x75747822f515804392f589faa1f834ef75b2fcc7. Data CC BY 4.0.
Offbeat-Tanker: −$11K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- −$11K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY Aleksandar Kovacevic @ 35¢ | Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic ↗ | $2.2K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes @ 24¢ | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ | $4.7K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes @ 30¢ | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ | $3.8K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?