Specific-Pear-Whirlwind
Skill vs luck
Specific-Pear-Whirlwind on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$19K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Specific-Pear-Whirlwind: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x709179e7392e59922ab2d73cb1141698b30096f8. Data CC BY 4.0.
Specific-Pear-Whirlwind: +$19K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- +$19K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 79¢ | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $49K |
| Oct 30 | BUY FURIA @ 41¢ | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs ↗ | $4.2K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.