Portly-Turban-Cupcake
Skill vs luck
Portly-Turban-Cupcake on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$1. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Portly-Turban-Cupcake: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x6f93d1d767b86a0e84ee61c7e2b3c5826892bc5c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Portly-Turban-Cupcake: −$1 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- −$1
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-31? ↗ | $1.0K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.